Deleted member 4581
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https://www.msn.com/en-us/autos/news/there-s-only-one-customer-for-electric-vehicles/ar-AA1176h7
" ...you’ll have the results from a recent study by intuit.ive. Given that most people will adopt a more progressive posture to a surveyor than they will behind closed doors, the percentage of buyers who will really consider an EV for their next vehicle is probably less than 22%.
…
Yet the manufacturers are “all-in” on EVs. I’ve been told privately by several senior "Big Three" engineers that future development of “ICE,” or gas- and diesel-powered vehicles, has been all but canceled. Meanwhile, brands like Cadillac are announcing an EV transition in the next five or 10 years. In Cadillac’s case, that move has been so unpopular with the dealers that 1 in 5 is planning to take a buyout and close its doors.
It’s axiomatic in this business that the dealers understand the buyers much better than the automakers do. So why would GM, Ford, and Stellantis commit to a future course of action that their own partners, who are keenly aware of what will sell in the real world, can’t abide?
…
The federal government has immense power to punish automakers, which at any given moment are mired in astoundingly deep and complex interactions and negotiations with a slew of alphabet agencies regarding everything from the way automotive emissions are tested to whether or not it’s allowable to dodge a long-standing import tax for commercial vans built overseas by bringing them from Turkey with seats installed, removing those seats, selling the vans without the seats, then shipping the removed seats back to Turkey for installation in another van. (Yes, that really happens.)
…
When the automakers look into their crystal balls, they see a nightmare future of soaring fuel prices, a sagging economy, and intense government regulation. There’s going to be another bailout at some point. And it is widely believed that the terms of the bailout will be hugely influenced by how the automakers behave today.
…
Unlike the talking heads in the media, the automakers know that mass production of electric vehicles within seven years will be somewhere between a disaster and a catastrophe. The raw materials are in short supply and largely controlled by China. The technology isn’t advancing as rapidly as was hoped, particularly with regard to batteries. And the charging infrastructure won’t be remotely prepared for the onslaught of 7 million or 8 million new EVs a year.
…
Consequently, the Big Three companies, along with the foreign automakers who do significant business here, are moving their engineering and production capacity to EVs while also pressuring the administration to back their play with both legal and financial incentives. At the same time, they are preparing to make their case for a full federal bailout when the EV rollout fails and customers demand the “old” cars en masse. "
" ...you’ll have the results from a recent study by intuit.ive. Given that most people will adopt a more progressive posture to a surveyor than they will behind closed doors, the percentage of buyers who will really consider an EV for their next vehicle is probably less than 22%.
…
Yet the manufacturers are “all-in” on EVs. I’ve been told privately by several senior "Big Three" engineers that future development of “ICE,” or gas- and diesel-powered vehicles, has been all but canceled. Meanwhile, brands like Cadillac are announcing an EV transition in the next five or 10 years. In Cadillac’s case, that move has been so unpopular with the dealers that 1 in 5 is planning to take a buyout and close its doors.
It’s axiomatic in this business that the dealers understand the buyers much better than the automakers do. So why would GM, Ford, and Stellantis commit to a future course of action that their own partners, who are keenly aware of what will sell in the real world, can’t abide?
…
The federal government has immense power to punish automakers, which at any given moment are mired in astoundingly deep and complex interactions and negotiations with a slew of alphabet agencies regarding everything from the way automotive emissions are tested to whether or not it’s allowable to dodge a long-standing import tax for commercial vans built overseas by bringing them from Turkey with seats installed, removing those seats, selling the vans without the seats, then shipping the removed seats back to Turkey for installation in another van. (Yes, that really happens.)
…
When the automakers look into their crystal balls, they see a nightmare future of soaring fuel prices, a sagging economy, and intense government regulation. There’s going to be another bailout at some point. And it is widely believed that the terms of the bailout will be hugely influenced by how the automakers behave today.
…
Unlike the talking heads in the media, the automakers know that mass production of electric vehicles within seven years will be somewhere between a disaster and a catastrophe. The raw materials are in short supply and largely controlled by China. The technology isn’t advancing as rapidly as was hoped, particularly with regard to batteries. And the charging infrastructure won’t be remotely prepared for the onslaught of 7 million or 8 million new EVs a year.
…
Consequently, the Big Three companies, along with the foreign automakers who do significant business here, are moving their engineering and production capacity to EVs while also pressuring the administration to back their play with both legal and financial incentives. At the same time, they are preparing to make their case for a full federal bailout when the EV rollout fails and customers demand the “old” cars en masse. "